tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.comments2010-01-26T06:12:29.140-08:00Iron Chef Dadnoreply@blogger.comBlogger22125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-84514075652328456692010-01-26T06:12:29.140-08:002010-01-26T06:12:29.140-08:00Thanks for your insight as always! Make sure to post an article AS SOON as you see the tide turning.Peterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05476284562667656541noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-605610903245786592010-01-25T09:26:50.594-08:002010-01-25T09:26:50.594-08:00If I excluded the conspiracy theory, it was the only thing that could move markets while the markey was closed. <br /><br />But personally, I have not excluded the conspiracy theory since I dont see any evidence to refute it. And actually, if the government did want to get the consumer spending again, I&#39;d have to say that jacking up the market is more effective than all the other stuff they&#39;ve done.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-16744855119899416622010-01-25T09:05:44.382-08:002010-01-25T09:05:44.382-08:00The China theory works for days China (a) has economic news or (b) chinese market is up a lot overnight<br /><br />But even point B is weak as many days China is up, and India will be flat or Europe flat... or down. Shanghai is an enclosed market in many ways with no shorting and no capital exchanges with the rest of the world.<br /><br />Notwithstanding the &quot;China affect&quot; which I believe is worthwhile to explain some of the days what about all the days there is no news but the indexes were up 0.5%, 0.7% in premarket. like 8 out of 10 days? You start adding 0.5% up over and over, and it begins to matter.<br /><br />Further if China is the culprit why were futures not up at midnight or 2 AM ? Instead they almost always rose steadily between 7 AM and 9 AM<br /><br />I watch futures before I go to bed, and when I wake up. In summer/fall 2009 futures were down many days and I woke up to find them 0.3%-0.5% and then tack on a few more 0.1%s between 7 AM and 9 AM. For months on end.<br /><br />China?TraderMarkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06241756200482130281noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-28007876005496332002009-10-21T17:40:41.738-07:002009-10-21T17:40:41.738-07:00The 4Matic C350 is practical, but hardly yuppy. ;)Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17742535155989615927noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-8387958919398452132009-10-14T00:32:55.306-07:002009-10-14T00:32:55.306-07:00Hi Jeff,<br /><br />I run a stock trading blog, with daily updates and recommendations for swing trading. Would you be interested in a link exchange? Check out my blog at www.cheapeststocktradingstrategies.com.<br /><br />Regards,<br /><br />Terence ChanTerence Chanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00573624911445580714noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-12012290757884957302009-07-28T22:36:14.658-07:002009-07-28T22:36:14.658-07:00where&#39;d u go?RoboYakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03043417657839310323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-24170731273506743602009-04-09T10:21:00.000-07:002009-04-09T10:21:00.000-07:00howdy!<BR/><BR/>hey, i like the semis too, but you should look into the composition of SMH<BR/><BR/>its 25% INTC and 20% TI<BR/><BR/>i would like more diversity, and i would like intl exposure as well (STM etc)<BR/><BR/>i have looked at all the semi ETFS (PCI, USD, SMH, XSD) and they all suck<BR/><BR/>i am thinking about throwing together my own basket of 5 or 10nullpointerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17897635156865956509noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-61817392437174750802009-03-03T21:49:00.000-08:002009-03-03T21:49:00.000-08:00I ended up unloading those shares on the open at 77. I figured there was some resistance there on the chart, and the market had given me an overnight 3 point gain. But POT remains to be a "go-to" stock for me.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-83435471985324129992009-03-03T19:30:00.000-08:002009-03-03T19:30:00.000-08:00Good choice on POT... the P&amp;F chart shows strong support at 74... I also added some in the 74s with a stop below...rosesryellow2http://www.blogger.com/profile/12471278009523940698noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-25729169491522696812009-01-28T23:08:00.000-08:002009-01-28T23:08:00.000-08:00thanks Mark.. for the posting of the "bad bank" story on CNBC. After I saw that I took my limit sell orders off, which by morning would easily have been hit. Just another lucky 7 rolled on this one.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-34141050912983874902009-01-28T08:16:00.000-08:002009-01-28T08:16:00.000-08:00Congrats on your WFC tradeTraderMarkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06241756200482130281noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-68099753019787117122009-01-14T08:53:00.000-08:002009-01-14T08:53:00.000-08:00thanks for the compliments Robo!Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-5669613440306642942009-01-14T07:35:00.000-08:002009-01-14T07:35:00.000-08:00dude...you rock. i love this blog!<BR/><BR/>thanksRoboYakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03043417657839310323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-6789721669353441192009-01-13T22:18:00.000-08:002009-01-13T22:18:00.000-08:00If I've learned anything in the 2008, its that when the VIX rises - use a shorter time frame. Typically when the VIX is low - say 20, one can use the daily chart. (during a bull market) When it is 60+, the market is swinging 5-10% a day, so use the 5 minute chart!<BR/><BR/>At 40ish, I like the 60 minute chart which coincidently, worked very well for me in the last bear market of 2001.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-59323247666123423152009-01-13T20:55:00.000-08:002009-01-13T20:55:00.000-08:00Jeff,<BR/><BR/>Can you elaborate on what you mean by "The VIX at 60+ means all bets are off; and the 5-minute chart rules..." the VIX is currently at 43 on my charts???<BR/><BR/>love what your doin here btw!RoboYakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03043417657839310323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-61304599584324393382009-01-12T19:22:00.000-08:002009-01-12T19:22:00.000-08:00Thanks for the hat tip!Patrickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12217554921967118634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-32208638538124140662009-01-06T22:41:00.000-08:002009-01-06T22:41:00.000-08:00oh, its on the right hand column at the very top. It's a bit un-obvious.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-89631731602863882302009-01-06T18:39:00.000-08:002009-01-06T18:39:00.000-08:00hi jeff, i dont see the link to your stock charts...just an fyi&gt;<BR/><BR/>thanks!RoboYakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03043417657839310323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-24739561048766662492009-01-02T16:00:00.000-08:002009-01-02T16:00:00.000-08:00RY, I'm using the actual yield for a technical signal instead of the ETF. There isn't too much difference. What I am looking for, is for the MACD to roll back over to become overbought. I'm not sure where the yield will be at that point. I suspect it will head back towards 3% over the course of a few weeks, but I will play it one day at a time.Risk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-81882066539152186582009-01-02T14:48:00.000-08:002009-01-02T14:48:00.000-08:00Good to see you posting again. Can you elaborate a bit on how you are using the 10 year for the closing singal?RoboYakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03043417657839310323noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-38993234915031265782009-01-02T14:11:00.000-08:002009-01-02T14:11:00.000-08:00Blogging's alot of work!<BR/><BR/>TBTs just got much better liquidityRisk Manager Jeffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14994763012317049832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2027792730823998344.post-12601825552440056312009-01-02T09:56:00.000-08:002009-01-02T09:56:00.000-08:00good to see ya blogging again.<BR/><BR/>TBT's a solid choice, have some myself. if you wanted to short the 10 year you could also do that via PST. just in case ya didnt know.<BR/><BR/>happy new year!market follyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07691612544809256786noreply@blogger.com